Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.039501 0.045975 0.052658 0.060036 0.067920 0.076059 0.085067
2025-12-07 0.030708 0.040187 0.050517 0.062448 0.075700 0.089840 0.105948
2025-12-14 0.025144 0.036514 0.049487 0.065004 0.082733 0.102083 0.124544
2025-12-21 0.020312 0.032756 0.047594 0.065907 0.087336 0.111157 0.139223
2025-12-28 0.018536 0.032332 0.049310 0.070714 0.096153 0.124759 0.158770
2026-01-04 0.014275 0.028096 0.045919 0.069064 0.097147 0.129205 0.167762
2026-01-11 0.011906 0.026039 0.044987 0.070166 0.101196 0.137006 0.180432
2026-01-18 0.009674 0.023828 0.043612 0.070523 0.104197 0.143464 0.191452
2026-01-25 0.007888 0.021994 0.042546 0.071119 0.107365 0.150024 0.202509
2026-02-01 0.006199 0.020010 0.041079 0.071050 0.109605 0.155396 0.212106
2026-02-08 0.004146 0.016896 0.037714 0.068266 0.108293 0.156392 0.216455
2026-02-15 0.002912 0.014963 0.035882 0.067389 0.109268 0.160052 0.223870
2026-02-22 0.002222 0.014046 0.035620 0.068756 0.113273 0.167610 0.236200
2026-03-01 0.001673 0.013276 0.035531 0.070352 0.117592 0.175592 0.249103
2026-03-08 0.001337 0.012943 0.036110 0.072867 0.123096 0.185032 0.263759
2026-03-15 0.000888 0.012019 0.035609 0.073784 0.126473 0.191825 0.275223
2026-03-22 0.000913 0.012753 0.037979 0.078868 0.135351 0.205441 0.294915
2026-03-29 0.000389 0.010928 0.035722 0.077119 0.135132 0.207723 0.300901
2026-04-05 0.000204 0.010271 0.035479 0.078286 0.138758 0.214771 0.312635
2026-04-12 0.000062 0.009399 0.034743 0.078665 0.141291 0.220428 0.322661
2026-04-19 0.000005 0.008673 0.034204 0.079294 0.144134 0.226453 0.333120
2026-04-26 NaN 0.007788 0.033246 0.079222 0.145983 0.231194 0.341989
2026-05-03 NaN 0.006184 0.030536 0.076274 0.143792 0.230733 0.344415